Packers vs Seahawks : Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks host Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers on prime time this Thursday night, in what feels like a must-win matchup if either team still wants a realistic shot at an NFC wild card spot. We break down the best five ways to wager this pivotal NFC showdown.
The Green Bay Packers finally got the breakout game they have been waiting for from running back Aaron Jones and that’s terrible news for opposing defenses. Jones tore up the Dolphins defense last week to the tune of 145 yards rushing and two touchdowns in a 31-12 dismantling at Lambeau last Sunday. And Jones will be out for an encore in Seattle.
If he can get going on the ground early against the Seahawks 17th ranked rush defense it will allow Aaron Rodgers and the Packers passing game to go to work and that’s when they’re at their best. Additionally, the Packers secondary has been strong all season, currently ranking fifth in the NFL in passing yards allowed and will give an inconsistent Seattle offense some problems at least early on. Look for Green Bay to establish the run early to open up the pass and score the game’s first major.
There is no question that Century Link is an incredibly tough place to play for visitors and both defenses have exceeded expectations this season. This is also a prime-time spot and the “12s” will certainly make things tough on Rodgers and the Packers offense. However, the first half prop for the Pack is incredibly low as it is sitting at 10.5-points and we’re getting plus money on the Over. Green Bay, as mentioned, should have success early in the game thanks to the run game and if the Packers can manage an early score than they should sail over their first half total, perhaps even in the first quarter. Take Green Bay to have more than 10-points after 30 minutes.
Seattle is expected to have Chris Carson back in the lineup on Thursday night, but the emergence of rookie Rashaad Penny has threatened touches for the former after a breakout effort last weekend. However, it looks like Seattle head coach Pete Carroll is going to give the reins right back to Carson and with the league’s second best rushing attack queued up for a big night look for Carson to be at the forefront of that success. His value to score a touchdown at any time is sitting at plus money right now ranking him just behind Davante Adams and Jones. That makes him the oddsmakers favorite candidate to score for Seattle. We’re buying into a Carson score in this spot.
The number in this one is starting to shrink after opening at 49.5-points, having since moved down to 48.5. The Over is 3-1-1 in their last five meetings in Seattle, but the movement here seems to ask more questions than it answers. There’s no question the Packers have a lethal offense, but if they’re adding more running plays into their game plan it could very well limit the point production on the scoreboard.
Meanwhile, the Seahawks have been playing exceptional defense and will also rely on the run game in an effort keep Rodgers and company off the field for as long as possible. The Packers have gone Over in their last six road games against a team with a losing home record while the Seahawks have gone Under in four straight Thursday nighters. The number seems to be a little too steep as defense and running the football will be key here. In the end the total in this one should come in around the 46-point mark.
The Packers have yet to win on the road this season, but they can sense their playoff hopes hanging in the balance on a short week in Seattle. But they won’t be the only ones feeling that way in this one as the Seahawks will also be playing desperate football. In win in this matchup is a must if the Seahawks have any dreams of an NFC wild card spot.
Green Bay has covered in four consecutive matchups with the Seahawks, though it’s the home team that is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings, which certainly means good things for Seattle. However, the Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games on Thursday night and are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 following a solid rushing performance of over 150 yards. Look for Green Bay to keep this one close at the very least.